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        MarketScreener Homepage  >  Equities  >  London Stock Exchange  >  HSBC Holdings Plc    HSBA   GB0005405286

        HSBC HOLDINGS PLC

        (HSBA)
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        Philippine central bank to stay on hold after strong growth

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        11/12/2019 | 04:08am EST
        Filipinos work at the assembly line of Kinpo Electronics factory in Malvar

        The Philippine central bank looks certain to leave its policy rate unchanged on Thursday, after stronger-than-expected economic growth in the third quarter and with inflation likely to remain tame in the coming months, a Reuters poll showed.

        Ten economists forecast the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) will pause its easing cycle to assess the effects of three cuts to the benchmark interest rate <PHBIR=ECI> this year. It last cut the rate to 4.0% at its September review.

        BSP Governor Benjamin Diokno said the central bank's policy stance remained appropriate following data last week that showed the economy grew 6.2% in the third quarter, beating forecasts and stronger than the previous three month's 5.5%.

        Even before the GDP data, Diokno said there would be no more policy rate and reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts this year, and that policymakers would assess macroeconomic conditions next year.

        The Philippines remains one of the fastest-growing economies in Asia, but authorities have said uncertainties spawned by the ongoing U.S.-Sino trade tensions were major risks to the country's growth outlook.

        Nine of the 10 economists polled said policy rates would be kept steady for the rest of the year, and the majority of them expect the central bank to resume cutting rates as early as the first quarter of next year.

        "We expect the BSP to continue its easing cycle in Q120 on the basis of normalising interest rates. The real policy rate in the Philippines is one of the highest in Asia, which could impinge on growth in the coming quarters," HSBC said in a note.

        At least one economist is not ruling out a fourth rate cut at the central bank's last policy meeting this year on Dec. 12.

        Authorities have said the bottom end of this year's 6%-7% growth target would likely be met on slowing inflation and as the government catches up on its spending, which was slowed by the delay in the approval of this year's budget.

        Cooling inflation has allowed the central bank to cut interest rates by a total of 75 basis points this year, reversing some of last year's tightening, which should bode well for domestic consumption, a major driver of economic growth.

        The central bank also reduced the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves by 300 basis points, with another cut of 100 bps to take effect in December, bringing the ratio to 14%.

        (Reporting by Karen Lema; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)

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        Financials (USD)
        Sales 2019 55 076 M
        EBIT 2019 21 222 M
        Net income 2019 13 083 M
        Debt 2019 -
        Yield 2019 6,63%
        P/E ratio 2019 11,7x
        P/E ratio 2020 10,9x
        Capi. / Sales2019 2,82x
        Capi. / Sales2020 2,76x
        Capitalization 155 B
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        Number of Analysts 24
        Average target price 7,98  $
        Last Close Price 7,69  $
        Spread / Highest target 51,0%
        Spread / Average Target 3,81%
        Spread / Lowest Target -17,7%
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        Noel Quinn Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director
        Mark Edward Tucker Non-Executive Group Chairman
        Andrew Mitchell Maguire Group Chief Operating Officer
        Ewen James Stevenson Chief Financial Officer & Executive Director
        Darryl West Chief Information Officer
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